Pig prices are rising and falling all over the country today.Arcade81Prices rose in Northeast, North and East China, while prices fell in South China. Consumption in East China is performing well, and the market is optimistic about the future. However, the spot pressure continues, the supply of adult pigs is large, the price difference of fat mark weakens, the supply of high-weight pigs increases, and the subsequent pressure increases, which may lead to the continued weakness of spot prices.
Pig prices are rising and falling all over the country.
Today, pig prices fluctuate in different regions. The price in Northeast China is 14.Arcade81.8-15.05 yuan / kg, up 0.1 yuan / kg; North China: 15.2-15.53 yuan / kg, up 0.05-0.12 yuan / kg; East China: 15.45-15.7 yuan / kg, up 0.02-0.05 yuan / kg; South China: 15.23-16 yuan / kg, down 0.15-0.25 yuan / kg The southwest region is 14.85-15.25 yuan / kg, stable or down 0.02-0.1 yuan / kg.
The overall performance of consumption in East China is good. The terminal market is optimistic about the future market and has a strong willingness to prepare goods in advance. The bullish enthusiasm of the aquaculture end is not high, prices in most areas remain stable, and the South China market is slightly loose.
Spot pressure is likely to continue in the near future. On the one hand, the overall supply pressure of adult pigs is large; on the other hand, the price difference of fertilizer price is weak, and the quantity of secondary fattening is limited. With the increase in the supply of large-weight pigs, the pressure on the follow-up is increased, and spot prices may continue to weaken.
09 contract trading has been around expectations. From the point of view of the position structure, the proportion of live pigs increasing positions is relatively high, and the speculative market is larger. The market information is complicated and the price of piglets is loose. Today's decline is reasonable, but does not affect the subsequent upward trend.
The contract maintains the previous logic. The negative logic exists, and there is rising water on the disk. Today's delivery profit has completely disappeared, the follow-up need to pay attention to the spot trend.
Transaction Strategy:
Unilateral: 09, November contract is still strong. 05 contracts fell sharply today and need to wait for further guidance from the spot. Pre-multiple orders can be appropriate to stop profits, waiting for spot confirmation.
Arbitrage: LH59 anti-arbitrage.
Options: stay on the sidelines.
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